Monthly reports · Formal records

Formal monthly reports for deeper reading and sharing.

Reports are the durable, more structured companion to the live warning system. They are designed for readers who want a cleaner monthly record, clearer score drivers, and a format that can be shared as a polished PDF.

Analysis
The current live narrative page for the latest public score.
Archive
The month-by-month historical trajectory and standalone retrospective pages.
Reports
Formal month-specific records for review, citation, sharing, and future PDF output.
Companion publication

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Open Democracy Deprogramming

The reports preserve the formal monthly record. Democracy Deprogramming turns the same civic warning into explainers, propaganda autopsies, political cartoons, and memorable arguments readers can share.

Available report pages

Prior formal report

May 2026 · 9.1 / 10

Prior reportRed ZonePrior 9.0

The preserved May report shows how the Red Zone deepened after April, with election fairness, due process, institutional checks, and war-powers accountability all worsening further.

Election fairnessDue processInstitutional checksWar powers
Threshold formal report

April 2026 · 9.0 / 10

First Red Zone entryRed ZonePrior 8.9

The aligned formal report version of the April threshold month, showing how the index crossed from severe warning into explicit Red Zone conditions before May confirmed the warning.

Rule of lawDue processWeaponized justiceOversight
Published scorecard backfill

March 2026 · 8.9 / 10

Direction: +0.5Status: Near RedlineMarch 2026 published scorecard

March moved the index from 8.4 to 8.9 as press freedom, election administration, court compliance, executive power, and military/intelligence neutrality all sharpened as risk categories.

Press freedom redlineElection override riskMilitary / intelligence neutralityCourt compliance and rule of law
Published scorecard backfill

February 2026 · 8.4 / 10

Direction: +0.2Status: CriticalFebruary 2026 published scorecard

February held the index in a critical range, with sustained structural stress around court compliance, detention due process, coercive state power, and election governance.

Court complianceDue process and habeas accessCoercive state powerElection governance
Backfilled formal report

January 2026 · 8.2 / 10

Direction: +0.3Status: CriticalDecember 15, 2025 - January 15, 2026

January concentrated risk around institutional independence, legal constraints, and personnel strain inside government service.

Institutional independenceLegal constraintsFederal service capacityJudicial checks
Backfilled formal report

December 2025 · 7.9 / 10

Direction: +0.3Status: High RiskNovember 15, 2025 - December 15, 2025

December was more structurally severe than November, with sharper collisions between enforcement power, due process, and institutional independence.

Due process and deportation litigationImmigration authorityInstitutional retaliation concernsJudicial constraints
Backfilled formal report

November 2025 · 7.6 / 10

Direction: +0.2Status: High RiskOctober 15, 2025 - November 15, 2025

November showed the archive moving firmly into High Risk territory as multiple categories began reinforcing one another.

Immigration and due processElection administrationCivil society and retaliationCountervailing checks
Retrospective backfilled summary

October 2025 · 7.4 / 10

Direction: +0.2Status: High RiskSeptember 15, 2025 - October 15, 2025

October linked domestic-terror framing, deployment litigation, and widening federal-state conflict into a higher-risk trajectory.

Domestic-terror framingDeployment litigationFederal-state conflictPolitical retaliation concerns
Retrospective backfilled summary

September 2025 · 7.2 / 10

Direction: +0.3Status: ElevatedAugust 15, 2025 - September 15, 2025

September moved the archive into a more structurally serious zone as the legality of domestic deployment became a central risk question.

Federalized deploymentCourt reviewLocal authorityCivil liberties
Retrospective backfilled summary

August 2025 · 6.9 / 10

Direction: +0.1Status: ElevatedJuly 15, 2025 - August 15, 2025

August showed slower deterioration, but deployment and enforcement pressures normalized rather than receded.

Deployment pressureEnforcement postureNormalization riskInstitutional checks
Retrospective backfilled summary

July 2025 · 6.8 / 10

Direction: +0.2Status: ElevatedJune 15, 2025 - July 15, 2025

July continued the upward move as war powers, immigration conflict, and domestic deployment pressures remained active.

War powersImmigration conflictLocal authorityDeployment persistence
Retrospective backfilled summary

June 2025 · 6.6 / 10

Direction: +0.4Status: ElevatedMay 15, 2025 - June 15, 2025

June rose as immigration raids, protest response, and federal deployment converged in the public record.

Immigration raidsLos Angeles protestsNational Guard deploymentFederal-state conflict
Retrospective backfilled summary

May 2025 · 6.2 / 10

Direction: Starting pointStatus: ElevatedApril 15, 2025 - May 15, 2025

May 2025 is the reconstructed starting point for the twelve-month backfill, already elevated before the sharper summer escalation.

Court-compliance strainRights pressureBaseline riskInstitutional stress
Reusable structure

Monthly report template

TemplateFuture months

The reusable formal report structure for future monthly pages before PDF export.

Score summaryTop driversScorecardEvidence spine
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